Who is still talking about 1.5 million deaths in the US?
Of course he can't. It would taint his Democrat presidential candidacy.
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The data coming out of Germany indicate an infection CFR of about half a percent. If strategy B is employed, how many deaths in the U.S., if not tens of millions, would you predict?
Keep in mind that strategy B is business as usual. Selective sheltering in place (i.e. for elderly/vulnerable) would imply a different strategy (e.g. it may fall under strategy D).
What is the IFR? You have that data? Haven't we already discussed this? What leads you to believe that this shit is 25 times worse than the worst flu season in the past 100 years?
There's a municipality in Germany where 80% of the population had an antibody test. Based on that data, which if I'm not mistaken is some of the highest quality data we have about this virus's lethality, an IFR of 0.4% was estimated.
That's about 4 times as lethal as the flu in terms of IFR.
But that doesn't mean 4 times as many deaths as the flu (one of the reasons for this is that herd immunity slows flu transmission down).
SARS CoV 2 is a novel pathogen, and has a very different playing field than that of seasonal influenza.
I am genuinely baffled at the reluctance some people have towards this treatment, and also the seemingly conflicting reports towards it. I understand the media going against it because Trump, but why isn’t every doctor giving this to patients who are dying? Is there truly that much of a potential shortage and if so, why aren’t they calling for companies to manufacture this instead of ventilators?
Yes, it does. It's playing field has been expanded to all the governments -- local, state, federal -- of the entire world, in terms of totalitarian policies and economic interventions, the extent of which have never been experienced before. For 4 times as many deaths as the flu, is this a reasonable response? Adult question, once again.
"Doctor, I want the treatment President Trump talked about, hydroxychloroquin and azithromycin."
"I can't prescribe it. It hasn't been approved by the FDA for COVID-19. It might not work. And there's no evidence that it's safe."
"Might not work?? Safe??? I'm dying, you fucking imbecile! I'm not very safe right now anyway!"
"There, there, sweetie. You just rest easy. Nurse, more Haldol, stat."