Originally Posted by
Jovan Dragisic
Experience shows that if you do it early enough, you can be even somewhat gentle. If you wait too long, you need a very strict quarantine, much closer to your Army analogy than what you are seeing now in some US cities. If you wait too long, there is not a whole lot you can do even with the quarantine in place, you gotta wait for the virus to burn itself out. You can then start to ease up on the quarantine, but the question is how long until another outbreak. The idea of locking things down and then reopening after a short period seems pretty counter-intuitive, you should either enforce strict quarantines until you find a cure, or you do the Swedish thing and let the virus run its course. I don't really trust China with their case numbers, so Italy, Spain and the US are gonna offer some good data on what happens after the lockdowns, since the governments there waited for a long time to enforce quarantines, have a high number of cases and fatalities and are set to start opening up at some time in the near future. Best case scenario is you can contain the spread with closed borders, I don't see how it can be done if you open them.