Originally Posted by
Mark Rippetoe
◦ "What about the Diamond Princess? Most passengers didn't get infected and very few died."
▪ Social distancing *was* implemented on the ship to slow/suppress the spread of the disease
"Social Distancing" can be implemented everywhere without closing down all the businesses in the United States. And since it was not possible to "close down" the Diamond Princess, or leave the premises, the data stands.
▪ Modelling suggests that, in the absence of these interventions, 80% of the passengers would have been infected by late Feb.
▪ The mortality rate amongst the infected passengers is in line with those seen elsewhere
The modeling is of the same quality we've come to expect from epidemiologists, and the infection rate on the ship was 17%. Of that 17%, the mortality rate was comparable to that of an older demographic, because that's who takes cruises.