Originally Posted by
Mark Rippetoe
▪ Models of an unchecked outbreak show that, at peak, the number of infected people requiring intensive care would exceed the number of available critical care beds by factors of ~30.
▪ *Even without taking this into account*, the total number of deaths in the US is then projected to be ~2 million
▪ In reality, it would presumably be considerably worse, because once health care systems are overwhelmed, people who could have been saved will actually die.
▪ In the Imperial College modelling (sic) study, they assume (based on the available clinical evidence), that ~50% of critical care cases will die even when treatment is available.
▪ Once the supply of critical care beds is exhausted, that number would presumably become ~100%
▪ In addition, once the health care system is on its knees, some/many milder cases would probably become critical. Also people with other (unrelated) illnesses would likely die at increased rates
This is laziness and speculation, and is precisely why there is no toilet paper at Walmart.