Originally Posted by
Rob Waskis
Let me try asking a different way, because you didn't quite answer what I (thought I) was asking. I'm not asking if it's deadly. If you can die from it, it's deadly. Chickenpox is deadly.
You said earlier that it was "deadly to a large percentage of the population". About 84% of the USA is under the age of 65. That population has 77% of the cases but only 26% of fatalities. Given what we think we know about IFR/CFR, comorbidities, total COVID deaths, comparison to the seasonal flu, percent of cases that remain asymptomatic, seroprevalence/undiagnosed cases, etc. etc.
Do you actually believe that COVID19 is deadly to a large percentage of the population?
I'll lay my cards out in advance - I don't. Using the 77%/22% you get a CFR of 2%. If you look at the seroprevalence studies showing that a much higher percentage of the population had this thing (like 50 time higher), the IFR could be 0.04% for the under 65 crowd. This thing is just not that bad for the vast majority of people.