COVID19 Factors We Should Consider/Current Events COVID19 Factors We Should Consider/Current Events - Page 662

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Thread: COVID19 Factors We Should Consider/Current Events

  1. #6611
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    • wichita falls texas december seminar 2020
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    Quote Originally Posted by JordanNewell View Post
    Pillar 2 tests in the UK are population screening. False positives are indeed a potentially big problem here, which is why this data is mainly used to observe trends, not absolute numbers.
    How does bad data indicate a trend worth observing?

  2. #6612
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yngvi View Post

    Let's remember who we are not allowed to criticize:

    George Soros
    China
    Islam
    And, we must criticize Russia.

    To your earlier post re Russia...agreed. History has shown that back channels are important; think Kennedy. Nothing will surprise me. IMO, it is an exciting time to be alive.

  3. #6613
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sib View Post
    The data I see just doesn't look convincing at all as to why we should restrict our lives, why are we doing this.
    Because there is a mountain of shit with the Brexit negotiations that you should not look at too closely

  4. #6614
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yngvi View Post
    Good post.

    Let's remember who we are not allowed to criticize:

    George Soros
    China
    Islam
    Israel, too, don't forget.
    https://twitter.com/LassMacarthur/st...56096839991300

  5. #6615
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mark Rippetoe View Post
    How does bad data indicate a trend worth observing?
    Even a very inaccurate test can give accurate information about population trends, if you do enough tests.

    If the error rate is 10% and your test positivity rate increases from 10 to 20%, something is occuring.

  6. #6616
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    Quote Originally Posted by Barry Charles View Post
    Pigtails and inkwells probably explains it.
    I would simply urge him to hit the flush handle, and to do so twice to assure a complete exit of the premises.

  7. #6617
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kitsuma View Post
    And, we must criticize Russia.
    But only when dems say so.

  8. #6618
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mark Rippetoe View Post
    How does bad data indicate a trend worth observing?
    Depends on why/how the data is bad, and the type of error you are talking about. If the problem is false positives, then if the error rate is assumed to stay the same you can interpret increases or decreases as changes in prevalence, even if you don't know what the actual numbers are. If you are using the same tests, you can probably assume the accuracy rate will not change much. "Bad data" does not necessarily mean we know nothing.

  9. #6619
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    Quote Originally Posted by JordanNewell View Post
    Even a very inaccurate test can give accurate information about population trends, if you do enough tests.

    If the error rate is 10% and your test positivity rate increases from 10 to 20%, something is occuring.
    Right. Especially if you already know what you want the trend to be.

    The media do this to us. Here's a wonderful example from today's news about the SCOTUS nomination: No, Amy Coney Barrett Doesn't Belong to a Catholic Group That Inspired 'The Handmaid's Tale'

  10. #6620
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