Originally Posted by
Jovan Dragisic
On another note, we are gathering some good epi data in Europe during the "second wave", which is likely just the first and only wave. Data from several countries, most notably Belgium and the Czech Republic, shows that the spread runs into a wall when cases go up to 33.000 per million, after which they begin to fall drastically, no matter the mesarues taken. Belgium and the Czech Republic have gone into lockdowns after a fall in cases, much of Europe which has been hit by the wave has done the same, but Croatia has been running a no lockdown policy. We've even had pretty lax measures in place until today (gatherings capped at 50, bars and restaurants closing at midnight, no business closures). The government is amplifyling restrictions today, but still no lockdown, and our hardest hit regions are at or close to 33.000 per million cases. If we see a drop in cases in the next week, we will get some really good data that counteracts the fear porn narrative about overrun hospitals and shit. Our hospitals are close to capacity now, but if we get a drop in cases, the hospital system will have weathered the crisis with minimal problems. This should give everyone in Europe pause, once governments are ready to accept the folly of the lockdown policies, of course.