Originally Posted by
Rob Waskis
In the 3/11 WHO SITREP, there were 10,149 confirmed cases of COVID19 in Italy (a country of approximately 60M people). I don't know anything about the Italian healthcare system, but those numbers would seem to suggest that their hospitals have the capacity to handle about 10,000 people total, and they were already at capacity when the outbreak started (assuming every COVID19 diagnosis is hospitalized).
Is that an oversimplification? Is only part of the hospital system at 200% capacity? Are only some hospitals at 200% capacity? Is my math wrong? A quick Google search suggests that there are slightly over 1,000 hospitals in Italy. Surely each hospital can handle more than 10 patients.