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Thread: COVID19 Factors We Should Consider/Current Events

  1. #1931
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gerald Boggs View Post
    Sorry Mate, that's not quite correct. True, with the liberal democrat governor and a democrat majority, things are looking grim. But still, things are much better in Virginia than in most parts of the states. And it will take a lot more then a single term of a governor to change very business friendly Virginia into New York or California. (For those of you that aren't in Virginia, governors are limited to one term in a row)
    Governor Northam’s gun laws that were enacted in the last few weeks (despite being in the midst of the “pandemic”.. and despite 25k+ people march on the capital in January voicing their opposition) would say otherwise.

  2. #1932
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gerald Boggs View Post
    Sorry Mate, that's not quite correct. True, with the liberal democrat governor and a democrat majority, things are looking grim. But still, things are much better in Virginia than in most parts of the states. And it will take a lot more then a single term of a governor to change very business friendly Virginia into New York or California. (For those of you that aren't in Virginia, governors are limited to one term in a row)
    We can just only hope so. For now, as I said, Virginia is trending nicely.

  3. #1933
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    Even if we accept the government diktat dividing businesses into essential and non essential (and I most definitely don’t), then what the fuck caused them to classify gyms as non essential!?? Gyms (if used properly) are engines of preventative medicine. They won’t stop you catching COVID 19 but they will sure as hell assist you in combating it. Mind you when you look at the pale, flabby state of many politicians, it’s quite easy to understand that these gym dodgers don’t even consider training and exercise to be a vital part of human existence.

  4. #1934
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shiva Kaul View Post
    Of course, Noah. Statisticians, in the Statistics department at Stanford, obviously think the enterprise of collecting random samples and computing CIs via the delta method (you know, the core material in an undergraduate statistics class) is just pure bullshit.

    And please, tell me more about the modern relationship between applied mathematics and statistical machine learning.
    I see you haven't spent much time at any institutions of higher learning, so let me explain how funding works: individual academic departments do not get an unlimited budget to hire as many professors as they want. Obviously, that would be a terrible idea. Funding for hiring new faculty and opening up new positions is made at the division level. The school of Humanities and Sciences at Stanford has 50 departments. The department of statistics is already bloated with nearly 20 tenured faculty at least as many adjuncts and auxiliary appointments. No dean that wants to stay a dean would approve anymore hiring for a department of that size, that has more faculty than graduate students.

    And please, before you embarrass yourself any further, look me up in your favorite academic database before you question my knowledge of Statistics. You may want to start by having a look at the bootstrap regression analysis I did with Rob Wallace a decade ago for the FAO and WHO, where we modeled the diffusion of avian influenza. What more can I tell you about modern Statistical Epidemiology, since, you know, I have a master's degree in the subject and you're clearly in over your head...

  5. #1935
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yngvi View Post
    On the other, more idealistic younger generations have experienced unopposed indoctrination and a large admixture of diverse populations from socialist countries who are unwilling to culturally assimilate.....
    I am not an expert on American demographic structure, but I doubt there has been sufficient immigration from socialist countries to make a huge difference. It's just demographics and markets. Even the indoctrination bit has to do with these two factors. Really, combine Marx and the American conservatives, and you get a really clear picture of how decision making is structured. You seem versed on the conservative point, I guess you just gotta read you some Marx. Consumption driven free market capitalism seems to be on its way out, like it or not. It's not a bad system, but it failed to account for continually rising debt, which made it too volatile for most people's tastes. Whether the new thing, call it what you will, socialism 2.0, welfare capitalism, whatever, turns out to be better or worse is questionable. Human societies do seem to have an upwards trajectory in living standards as time goes by, but the next decade or so is gonna piss a lot of people off.

  6. #1936
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    Quote Originally Posted by BrunoLawerence View Post
    Did I cover it quite a bit in my studies? Yes. Am I claiming to be an expert? No, and I am not pretending to be. However, if I am going to post information it would be far more conductive to cite the recommendations based on actual experts, as opposed to just random people.
    As I said in the previous post, it is an easy back and forth where each of us could cite random people who support our viewpoint. This doesn't get us anywhere now does it?
    Let me see if I understand this correctly. Only people you consider to be experts are allowed to make arguments, and the rest are wrong just because you don't like their academic background?

  7. #1937
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shiva Kaul View Post
    No. That is rewriting history: the initial outcry was that Trump wasn’t providing enough tests, that they were being reserved for rich celebrities, etc.
    No, we actually asked about how accurate the tests were after the question was raised here, YouTube

    Rip posted this paper that also challenged the accuracy of the tests here, https://theinfectiousmyth.com/book/CoronavirusPanic.pdf Although this guy was dismissed because he wasn't an 'expert' even though his argument was valid.

    The CDC insisted they take lead on the tests and fucked it up at the beginning. I doubt this would have been an issue had Trump been allowed to grant the private sector access at the original date.
    Contamination at CDC lab delayed rollout of coronavirus tests

    And here's Maher looking like an dumbass, YouTube

  8. #1938
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    Brain training. Taleb yesterday:

    “Compare the richest countries, such as Sweden, making a "tradoff" (which is not even a tradeoff anyway) compared to much poorer places in the East Med, India, or China that wouldn't even remotely consider a Faustian bargain.

    Shame.

    Wealth brings moral degeneracy”

    He makes a strong point. The only counter argument I can think of.

    “Ultimately, morality has to be paid for”.

    Thoughts Rip?

  9. #1939
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    Quote Originally Posted by LuciusSulla View Post
    Even if we accept the government diktat dividing businesses into essential and non essential (and I most definitely don’t), then what the fuck caused them to classify gyms as non essential!?? Gyms (if used properly) are engines of preventative medicine. They won’t stop you catching COVID 19 but they will sure as hell assist you in combating it. Mind you when you look at the pale, flabby state of many politicians, it’s quite easy to understand that these gym dodgers don’t even consider training and exercise to be a vital part of human existence.
    This is too easy. The pencil neck lab rats despise gyms and those who use them. Too many bad experiences in the gyms and from the regulars in them. This is their revenge, dammit.

  10. #1940
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    Quote Originally Posted by LuciusSulla View Post
    Even if we accept the government diktat dividing businesses into essential and non essential (and I most definitely don’t), then what the fuck caused them to classify gyms as non essential!?? Gyms (if used properly) are engines of preventative medicine. They won’t stop you catching COVID 19 but they will sure as hell assist you in combating it. Mind you when you look at the pale, flabby state of many politicians, it’s quite easy to understand that these gym dodgers don’t even consider training and exercise to be a vital part of human existence.
    not sure if serious ^.

    I'm about pro exercise as anybody, but if you can't see the problem with a bunch of people frequenting to a centralized location, sharing/touching a bunch of barbell equipment, huffing and puffing all about in the same space, and then dispersing back into society to go about their business....well, I don't know what to say.

    Sure healthily fit people probably have a better immune response to things like this.
    But that isn't earned in the short term.
    Its not like a person is going to make their 'co-mobidities' disappear within a few workout sessions to have a better chance fight off The Conora-Aides.

    Public gyms are pretty much a worse case scenario.
    They should've been the first thing to shut down; and will be the first thing to shut down next corona-season again.

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