It’s a trick question: the test is self-administered, so we don’t know the condition of those who take it. But, in the spirit of 2020, we can do a worst-case analysis.
Suppose it’s taken entirely by asymptomatic, COVID-free people— such as those compelled by their jobs, modes of transportation, or moral imperatives. Since the empirical FPR of 1-.96 was determined on a sample of size 198/4, the 95% CI of the true FPR is [.005, .137]. Thus, across the 3 million tests, the 95% upper bound for the expected number of false positives is 411,000. So, 40M+ false positives, were it scaled to the entire US population. Versus 17M actual positives, ever.
Fanciful (and calculated by thumbs on a phone), but still gives a sense of what “95% accurate!!” means in the context of large-scale public health.
You're STILL talking about Trump getting a 2nd term. Aren't the Vegas odds down past 100:1 now? You inspire me with your devotion. I've always wondered if it was this--the right's awe-inspiring capacity for loyalty and devotion to their chosen elites--that has you lot destined for supremacy.
Holy shit! This seems important.
So we have been de-pantsed by the rooskies all over the government agencies through their hacking activities. Christopher Krebs, the guy who declared the elections secure got fired for that debacle.
But consider this, Krebs' full title and mission brief was Director of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency in the United States Department of Homeland Security. Looks like he and his minions were asleep at the switch in keeping the rooskies AND the dems out of where they didn't belong.
I saw this a couple of days ago.
It’s funny that after all the sworn affidavits and stories coming out that we have people calling US conspiracy theorists. That’s fucking rich.
If, at this point, you believe that everything was on the up and up. If you believe this was the fairest most transparent election in history and there was no fraud, no cheating, no law breaking. If you believe Hunter is totally innocent. YOU my friend are the conspiracy theorist.