You've put years of thought into this, yet a very quick search reveals a decreasing crime rate in Austin [1]. This most recent annual report is from 2018, but the APD also publishes monthly reports [2], of specific interest is the one from December 2020 [3], which gives annual figures for 2020 and 2019. [1] reports on total violent crime, which [3] does not explicitly. But [1] defines precisely what constitutes violent crime, which we can now extrapolate from [3]:
2020:
Murder: 47
Rape: 291
Robbery: 1,109
Aggravated Assault: 3,193
-------------------
Total: 4640
2019:
Murder: 33
Rape: 334
Robbery: 1,057
Aggravated Assault: 2,612
-------------------
Total: 4036
[4] gives the population of Austin as almost exactly 10^6 so this gives us violent crime rates per 100,000 of
2020: 464
2019: 404
Comparing this to the historical data on page 3 of [1] and we see that while 2020's rate is somewhat elevated in comparison to the 2012-2018 period, 2019's rate is right in line and the general trend of violent crime is decreasing in Austin, Texas. There is no dramatic increase and the trend remains downwards.
I don't know shit, yet apparently I know more than you do about the crime rate in the city you live in, after 10 minutes of research. Maybe I'm opinionated, but at least my opinions are grounded in reality, unlike yours.
[1]
https://www.austintexas.gov/sites/de...2019_FINAL.pdf
[2]
Chief's Monthly Reports | AustinTexas.gov
[3]
https://www.austintexas.gov/sites/de...r_EXTERNAL.pdf
[4]
Demographics | AustinTexas.gov