It is high time that this risk is examined and quantified, because so far we have been relying on...
...egregiously wrong ideas of what an ICU is, what capacity they possess, what admittance means, etc - which have already caused tremendous collateral deaths, in nursing homes and elsewhere.(see Queue theory).
Few or no patients even skirted (sic) with entering those facilities.There was a point in the pandemic where Ontario was skirting with the idea of "triage" rules, that basically required doctors to choose who gets care based on their overall longterm death risk. I guess Trump had a good idea when he sent that ship to NY and built temporary ICU capacity.