excess mortality is exactly the sort of figure that can cut through uncertainties around case fatality rates and true infection rates, really glad someone's compiling it.
One thing I don't understand from the "pooled number of deaths" figure is the green line. It's meant to represent delay adjusted deaths (i.e. how many currently infected will go on to die).
But that will estimate how many people will die at a future time, so why are they plotting that line all the way back to the beginning of 2016?
What am I missing?
One of the darker elements to this whole affair is that surveillance tools are with certainty being developed to help track people's behaviours and statuses. There is a high risk of these tools being abused after the pandemic has finished reproducing in our species.
Nevertheless, the data is fucking fascinating (assuming it's legit):
https://twitter.com/TectonixGEO/stat...28347034767361
And, from Grant Sanderson (3Blue1Brown), who along with Rip, is one of my greatest teachers, a very cool spatial model of viral spread:
YouTube